As we all know, China has seen better days. The stocks in China have fallen so hard that it is said to be the “weakest economic growth in a quarter century.” The yuan has continued to depreciate while the world is wondering if they will be dragging the entire world down with them. The economic exposure is so severe, people have worried about the end of days or the end of the world. For those reading these words who live in the United States of America, China’s collapse will not put us in a worse economic position. The United States is a $15 trillion dollar economy; that is $15 trillion coming in and $15 trillion going out. The business Unites States has with China is only $150 billion, not to say it’s not a lot of money, but $150 billion dollars is only 1% of our economic prowess.
The economic exposure has set Hang Seng China Enterprises Index on a trading level that puts a lot of pressure on future options mostly held by large banks like Bank of America and Merrill Lynch. It is possible the investors will begin to lose their principal if the levels of stock continue to fall. The stocks are predicted to fall even faster very soon. The large banks will respond to this economic risk and sell their futures to reduce their hedge. William Chan, the head of Asia Pacific equity derivatives research said “as the market goes lower from here, the downward move may accelerate. There will be a large amount of hedging in futures which dealers need to unwind.” The economic exposure could be seeing more economic crashing in the near future for China. We can only hope China will listen to the market and use their prideful communistic pressure against the market.
Regina Tan. (2016, January 19). Bloomberg Business. News. In China Stock Rout Seen Getting Uglier as Derivative Trigger Looms. Retrieved from http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-01-20/bofa-sees-tipping-point-in-hong-kong-stocks-as-futures-unwind